This Week in Startups: The 5 Stories That Actually Matter
$510 billion raised in six months, a $1.75B AI power deal, and venture capital's most uncomfortable data point yet.
1. Venture Capital Just Had Its Best Half-Year on Record. Two Companies Ate Half of It.
Global venture funding reached a record $510 billion in the first half of 2026, surpassing the $440 billion invested in all of 2025 and setting a new high for startup investment in any half-year period on record. OpenAI and Anthropic alone accounted for $217 billion 43% of all startup funding in H1. Strip those two out and the market looks dramatically different than the headline suggests.
Spence’s take: Record funding with record concentration isn’t a healthy market. It’s a market with one very loud story and a lot of everyone else fighting for the scraps.
2. Joulent Just Got $1.75B to Power Microsoft’s AI Before the Grid Can
National Grid Ventures agreed to invest $1.75 billion for a 35% stake in Joulent, forming a strategic partnership to develop contracted power and electrical infrastructure solutions for large load demand. The funding will support Joulent’s Project Kilby, a 2.67 GW co-located power facility in West Texas developed in partnership with Chevron, which will supply a Microsoft-operated data center campus under a 20-year power purchase agreement.
Spence’s take: Joulent launched in June and closed a $1.75 billion deal in July. The fastest path to a massive check is starting with a 20-year customer contract already in hand.
3. Together AI Raised $800M and Nobody’s Talking About What It Actually Signals
Together AI’s latest round confirms that AI compute is a must-own sector, with the neocloud model providing GPU power on demand for running and fine-tuning AI addressing a core bottleneck. The valuation jumped from $3.3B at Series B to $8.3B in this Series C led by Aramco Ventures, with NVIDIA, General Catalyst, Vista Equity Partners, and Emergence Capital all participating.
Spence’s take: When Aramco leads an AI infrastructure round, that’s not a tech bet. That’s an oil nation hedging its energy dominance with compute dominance. Different asset, same instinct.
4. Quantum Systems Raised $1.2B and Europe Finally Has a Defense-Tech Story Worth Watching
German drone maker Quantum Systems raised $1.2 billion in a Series D round, valuing the company at roughly $8 billion, backed by investors including Blackstone, Airbus, Advent, and Noteus. The round is one of Europe’s largest defense-tech financings ever and reflects a fundamental shift: European governments are no longer waiting on legacy contractors to move fast.
Spence’s take: Ukraine proved that cheap, fast, autonomous systems beat expensive slow ones on the battlefield. A $1.2 billion drone startup is just that thesis with a balance sheet.
5. Venice Raised $65M to Sell AI Privacy at a $1B Valuation and the Timing Is Perfect
Venice, developer of a platform enabling private, surveillance-free access to a wide array of AI models, secured $65 million in Series A funding led by Dragonfly, setting a $1 billion valuation for the 2-year-old Sheridan, Wyoming-based startup. The round lands exactly as enterprise concerns about AI data retention and model training on proprietary inputs are hitting a fever pitch.
Spence’s take: Privacy used to be a feature people said they wanted and didn’t pay for. Enterprise compliance is making it a line item they can’t avoid. That’s a different kind of demand.
Why Joulent Is the Story of the Week
I want to run Joulent through constraint mapping, a model from Mental Models: How to Think, Act, and Win. Every major technology wave eventually hits a physical constraint that software can’t solve. For AI, that constraint is power. Not chips. Not models. Actual electrons delivered at scale and speed. AI-related electricity demand is reshaping energy markets globally, with data centre demand rising 17% in 2025 against 3% growth in overall global electricity demand. Joulent didn’t try to compete in the crowded AI software market. It found the constraint that blocks everyone in that market and built the infrastructure to remove it. That’s the most durable position in any technology cycle: being the thing everyone else needs to exist.
Next week I’m going deep on one company from this list. My early pick is the story that looks like an energy deal but is actually a 20-year bet on who controls AI compute infrastructure. Subscribe so you don’t miss it.
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If this was useful, share it with someone who builds things. And if you want the full toolkit of 50 mental models, you can grab my book, Mental Models: How to Think, Act, and Win, right now.


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Next week’s deep-dive:
Next week, I'm picking one company from this list and going deep: total funding, market size, business model, the bull case, and what could go wrong. Subscribe so you don't miss it.
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